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Outside Plant Fiber Optic Cable Ducts, U.S.A. Market Forecast & Analysis
Author:sino    Source:Sino-report    Number of clicks :     Update time:2018-08-27 19:05
This report provides our analysis and forecast of the use of non-aerial ducts, in the United States (U.S.A.), which are installed
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Fiber Optic Cable Ducts

Deployment methods for outside plant (OSP) fiber optic cable conduit/ducts/innerducts vary; this market study covers all methods, except aerial.

  • Aerial (telephone poles, towers)
  • Below grade (underground or under bridges or in tunnels)

The general purpose of conduit, or duct, is to provide a clear, protected pathway for a cable or for smaller conduits, sometimes called mini-ducts or innerducts.

To provide an opportunity, in the future, to allow for additional fiber optic cable within an existing underground deployment, without the trouble and cost of retrenching, is a major advantage of the use of ducts for underground deployments.

This report provides our analysis and forecast of the use of non-aerial ducts, in the United States (U.S.A.), which are installed to accommodate fiber optic cable. In regards to ducts that accommodate copper/coaxial and fiber optic cable, we also include the consumption (use) of the duct in our market data, however, innerducts, that accommodate a copper/coaxial cable only, are not included.

For the purposes of this market study, Loose Tube Fiber Optic Cable is considered cable and not pre-installed fiber optic cable inside of a duct; therefore, the consumption of Loose Tube Fiber Optic Cable is not quantified in the market data of this particular study.

There are several methods, to deploy fiber optic cable below grade, as listed in Table 1.

The duct diameter guidelines are ElectroniCast classification guidelines and not necessarily representative of industry standards or guidelines.

Table 1:
Methods to Deploy Below Grade OSP Fiber Optic Cable

Note: Orange highlights = Ducts included in the market forecast data for this study.

Customer Types

The fiber optic cable duct market forecast data are built up from specific customer types, as shown below:

  • Access Providers (APs) and Services Providers (SPs)
  • Private or Customer Owned Networks (Interbuilding Campus)

Service providers that provide landline telephony are considered in the Telecommunications category, even if they also provide Internet, Cable TV, as well as mobile/cell phone service; service providers that offer mobile/cell phone service (only) are considered in the Telecommunications application category.

Service providers that provide Cable TV and/or Internet and (plus) mobile/cell phone service are considered in the Cable TV/Multimedia application category. Companies that provide Internet (only) are considered in the Cable TV/Multimedia category.

The remaining (other) customer type consists of Private or Customer Owned Networks, which do not necessarily fit in the Telecommunication or Cable TV segments, such as government of private enterprise outside duct deployment, such as building-to-building (campus) installations.

In this ElectroniCast study, below-grade Outside Plant (OSP) fiber cable duct used for street/roadway government (municipality/other) and Utilities is generally quantified (counted) in the Access Providers (APs) and Service Providers category; however, campuses - such as hospitals, schools or other government-owned (public) institutions are counted in the Customer Network category.

Product Types

The market forecast data are also segmented by the following two product types:

  • Main Duct / Conduit
  • Micro Duct / Innerduct

Forecast Functions

The forecast for each product-level is presented by function:

  • The US Dollar value ($ Million)
  • The number of kilometers, multiplied by 1-Thousand (Tkm)
  • The average selling price for each kilometer (Price $, km)

Research Methodology

Market analysis and forecasting are complex tasks. Any predictions of the shape and trends of technology and economic movement start from the notion that the germ of what will be important tomorrow is present, although smaller or larger or in a different form, in our environment today. However, taking as a basis for a prediction the assumptions of current, conventional belief creates a set of preconceived notions that can lead to serious mistakes. ElectroniCast, instead, looks to the basic driving forces. The future market for this particular product category depends on a number of factors, including:

  • User equipment demand
  • The continuing trend of regarding increasing performance/cost ratio, driving an economics- based expansion
  • Current and future use of other competing technologies, based on economic advantage and technology advancement
  • Possible displacement of these technologies by other solutions
  • Shifts in the types and technologies of products deployed and in their end applications
  • Trends in world economies, regional economies and government policies

ElectroniCast analysts perform interviews with authoritative and representative individuals involved with fiber optic installation apparatus, cable, conduits/ducts, and component and device (product) development, manufacturing, and distribution/ marketing/sales, from the standpoint of both suppliers and users of pertinent products.

The interviews are conducted principally with:

  • Engineers, marketing personnel and management at manufacturers of the pertinent types of products.
  • Design group leaders, engineers, marketing personnel and market planners at major users and potential users of the applicable products.
  • Other industry experts, including those focused on standards activities, trade associations, and investments.

The interviews cover issues of technology, R&D support, pricing, contract size, reliability, documentation, installation/maintenance crafts, standards, supplier competition and other topics.

Customers (contractor/installers, telecommunication operators, distributors, and similar) are interviewed, to obtain their estimates of quantities received and average prices paid, as a crosscheck of vendor estimates. Customer estimates of historical and expected near term future growth of their application are obtained. Their views of use of new technology products will be researched.

A review of published information was also performed to supplement information obtained through interviews. The following sources are reviewed:

  • Professional technical journals and papers
  • Trade press articles
  • Technical conference proceedings
  • Product literature
  • Company profile and financial information
  • Additional information based on previous ElectroniCast market studies
  • Personal knowledge of the research team.

In analyzing the complexities of the marketplace for the selected products, it is essential that the market research team have a good and a deep understanding of the technology and of the industry. ElectroniCast members who participate in this study are qualified.

Bottom-up Methodology

The background market research focuses on the amount of the selected fiber optic cable duct each product (duct or mini-duct/innerduct) used in each application in the base year (2017), and the prices paid at the first transaction from the manufacturer. This forms the base year data. ElectroniCast analysts then forecast the growth rates in component quantity use in each application, along with price trends, based on competitive, economic and technology forecast trends, and apply these to derive long term forecasts at the lowest application levels. The usage growth rate forecasts depend heavily on analysis of overall end user trends toward digital broadband communication equipment usage and economic payback (the methodology is further illustrated by Figure 1).

Figure 1:
ElectroniCast - Market Research & Forecasting Methodology

Cross-Correlation Increases Accuracy

The quantities of fiber optic attenuators, DWDM, optical fiber/cable, connectors, transceivers, transport terminals, optical add/drop MUX, couplers/splitters, isolators, photonic switches and other products used in a particular application are interrelated. Since ElectroniCast conducts annual analysis and forecast updates in each fiber optic related product field, accurate current quantity estimates in each application are part of this corporate database. These quantities are cross-correlated as a “sanity check.”

ElectroniCast, each year since 1985, has conducted extensive research and updated their forecasts of each fiber optic component category. As technology and applications have advanced, the number of component subsets covered by the forecasts has expanded impressively.

The calculation and analysis data spreadsheet technique is based upon input/output analysis, leveraging the quantitative consumption quantity, price and value of each item in each application at all levels to achieve reasonable quantitative conclusions; this interactive analysis concept, first applied on a major scale by Leonteff, of the US Department of Commerce, in the mid-1950s, was then adopted successfully by analyst/forecasting firms Quantum Science, Gnostic Concepts and (in 1981) by ElectroniCast.

TABLE OF CONTENTS

Table of Contents

1. Report Introduction

  • 1.1. Market Scope and Definition
  • 1.2. Market Segmentation
  • 1.3. SMART - Research Objectives
  • 1.4. Research Methodology and Nature of the Market Data

2. Market Overview

  • 2.1. Outside Plant Fiber Optic Cable Ducts Types
  • 2.2. Standards Specifications - Briefs
  • 2.3. Customer Types
  • 2.4. Market Drivers and Activity
  • 2.5. Market Review and Forecast (2017-2027)

3. Competition -Outside Plant Fiber Optic Cable Ducts

  • 3.1. Competitive Market Share Estimates of Selected Leading Manufacturers (2017)
  • 3.2. Company Profiles of Selected Competitors (Manufacturer & Supplier/Distributor)
    • Advanced Media Technologies (ITOCHU)
    • American Wire Group
    • Anixter, Inc.
    • Atek Communications Inc. / American Tele Data
    • Blue Diamond Industries (BDI)
    • Cables Plus USA
    • CARLON (Lamson & Sessions)
    • Centennial Plastics, Inc.
    • Chapman Electric Supply, Inc.
    • Clearfield, Inc.
    • Comstar Supply, Inc.
    • Creek Plastics LLC.
    • Dura-Line (Mexichem)
    • Emtelle
    • Fiber Optic Cable In Stock (dot) Com
    • Fiber Optics For Sale Co. (FOSCO)
    • Graybar Services, Inc.
    • InnerDuct (dot) com
    • IPEX Management Inc. (FiberTel®)
    • Jain Irrigation Systems Ltd (JISL)
    • JM Eagle
    • Millennium
    • Multilink, Inc.
    • Performance Pipe (Chevron Phillips Chemical Company LP)
    • Petroflex North America, Ltd. (PNA)
    • Premier Conduit
    • Prysmian Group / General Cable
    • TVC Communications (WESCO Distribution, Inc.); MaxCell, and Vikimatic
    • United Poly Systems, LLC
    • WL Plastics

List of Figures

  • 1.1.1: North America Outside Plant (OSP) Forecast, By Sub-Region ($ Million)
  • 1.4.1: Market Research & Forecasting Methodology
  • 2.1.1: Four Microducts Installed in Micro Trench
  • 2.1.2: Fiber Optic Cable Blowing into Underground Duct
  • 2.1.3: HDPE Telecom Duct
  • 2.1.4: Fabric Innerduct
  • 2.4.1: Aerial, Pedestal and Duct/Buried Closure Placements in FTTH
  • 2.4.2: Underground - Basic arrangement of the elements in the last mile
  • 2.4.3: Underground OSP Fiber Optic Cable Duct Installation - Residential Area
  • 2.4.4: University System Map
  • 2.5.1: USA - Market Forecast, ($, Million) Non-Aerial OSP Ducts
  • 2.5.2: USA - Market Forecast, (Kilometers) Non-Aerial OSP Ducts
  • 2.5.3: USA - Market Forecast, ($, Million) Non-Aerial OSP Ducts, By Application
  • 2.5.4: USA - Market Forecast, (Kilometers) Non-Aerial OSP Ducts, By Application
  • 2.5.5: USA - Market Forecast, ($, Million) Non-Aerial OSP Ducts, By Duct Type
  • 2.5.6: USA - Market Forecast, (Kilometers) Non-Aerial OSP Ducts, By Duct Type
  • 3.2.1: FTTH Underground OSP Duct Installation in Progress
  • 3.2.2: Stick Pipe HDPE
  • 3.2.3: HDPE MicroDuct inside Conduit (Main Duct)
  • 3.2.4: Innerduct Comparison
  • 3.2.5: Carbon Footprint Comparisons

List of Tables

  • 1.1.1: Methods to Deploy Below Grade OSP Fiber Optic Cable
  • 2.5.1: Outside Plant (OSP) - Product Category List
  • 2.5.2: USA - Forecast, ($M, Tkm, ASP) Non-Aerial OSP Ducts, By Duct Type
  • 2.5.2: USA - Forecast, ($M, Tkm, ASP) Non-Aerial OSP Ducts, Service Providers
  • 2.5.2: USA - Forecast, ($M, Tkm, ASP) Non-Aerial OSP Ducts, Customer Owned
  • 3.1.1: Competitive Market Share Estimates of Selected Manufacturers ($M, %) (2017)

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